The litany of Arizona's supposed inadequacies is by now depressingly
familiar.
Arizona has a poverty rate above the national average. We have one of the
highest percentages of our population without health insurance in the
country.
Fewer of us have high-school educations and college degrees. Per capita
income in the state lags behind the national average.
Occasionally, there's a reluctant concession that immigration contributes to
these rankings, but it's almost always dismissed as a minor factor.
Arizona's allegedly low-wage economy is inevitably fingered as the primary
culprit.
A new study by the Center for Immigration Studies, however, indicates that
immigration is nearly the entire explanation for these rankings.
Now, CIS has an agenda. It believes that there is too much immigration in
the United States, both legal and illegal.
However, I've always found its research to be first rate. The base
information for this study ("Immigrants in the United States, 2007") comes
from the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey. Its top-line numbers
comport with those from other research organizations that don't share its
agenda, such as the Pew Hispanic Center.
The poverty rate in households headed by the native-born in Arizona does
slightly exceed the national average for such households, 12.5 percent vs.
11.4 percent.
The poverty rate for immigrant-headed households in Arizona, however, is
22.4 percent, well above the national average for immigrant households of
16.9 percent. Nearly a third of all Arizonans living in poverty are in
immigrant households.
Immigrants are an even larger share of Arizona's uninsured population.
Again, the uninsured rate in Arizona native households is slightly above the
national average, 15.1 percent compared with 13 percent. Arizona immigrant
households, however, have an uninsured rate of 44.5 percent, well above the
national average of 30 percent. Immigrant families constitute over 40
percent of the uninsured in Arizona.
Just 8.7 percent of native adults in Arizona don't have at least a
high-school degree, not appreciable above the national average of 8.4
percent. However, 46 percent of adult immigrants in Arizona have less than a
high-school degree, far above the immigrant national average of 30.6
percent.
The starkest contrast is on income, a statistic that is constantly wielded
to indict Arizona's economy. As it turns out, native Arizona households
actually have a median income that is 4 percent above the native national
average. The median household income for Arizona immigrants, however, is 30
percent below the national average for immigrant families. On a per capita
basis, Arizona native income is slightly above the national average, while
that of immigrants is a third less than the immigrant national average.
In fact, Arizona has the largest gap between native and immigrant income in
the country, 2 1/2 times the national average.
That is because so much of Arizona's immigration comes from Mexico. Sixty
percent of adult Mexican immigrants have less than a high-school degree.
And undoubtedly because so much of Arizona's immigration is illegal. More
than two-thirds of Arizona immigrant households living in poverty are headed
by an illegal. According to CIS, Arizona has the highest concentration of
illegal immigrants in the country, as a proportion of both population (9
percent) and the workforce (12 percent).
So, what to make of all this?
The social welfare and economic indicators that drive so much of the public
policy debate in Arizona are clearly almost wholly a function of
immigration.
That doesn't change some realities. The children of illegal immigrants are
mostly legal. That means Arizona has a social-welfare and educational
challenge.
It should, however, change the tenor of the discussion. Arizona has high
rates of poverty and uninsurance, and low rates of educational attainment
and per capita income, not because of anything Arizona is doing wrong.
Instead, those phenomena exist because Arizona is a place where poor and
relatively uneducated people, primarily from Mexico, think they can improve
their lot in life. Lax immigration laws have permitted them to come here in
large numbers.
Coping with immigration, particularly illegal immigration, is clearly the
issue, not fixing alleged deficiencies in Arizona's social-welfare and
economic policies.
Reach Robb at
robert.robb@arizonarepublic.com or 602-444-8472. His column
appears Sundays, Wednesdays and Fridays. Read his blog at
robbblog.azcentral.com.